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Partially supported by the
National Institute of General Medical Sciences of the
NIH
Organizers:
Sally
Blower
Department of Microbiology & Immunology
University of California, San Francisco
http://www.caps.ucsf.edu/people/blowerbio.html
sally@itsa.ucsf.edu
Carlos
Castillo-Chavez
Biometrics Unit
Cornell & Howard Universities
http://www.biom.cornell.edu/Homepages/Carlos_Castillo-Chavez/welcome.html
Denise
Kirschner
Department of Microbiology and Immunology
The University of Michigan Medical School
http://www.med.umich.edu/microbio/kirschne.html
kirschne@umich.edu
and
Pauline
van den Driessche
Department of Mathematics
University of Victoria
http://www.math.uvic.ca/faculty/pvdd/index.html
pvdd@math.uvic.CA
The world population has passed the six billion mark. This population explosion is accompanied by the growth of urban centers and a global economy. Increased interactions of individuals across the world have facilitated the transmission of well known diseases while creating ample opportunity for the emergence and re-emergence of infectious diseases. The global spread of HIV, the continued expansion of Lyme disease, the reemergence of tuberculosis and Dengue fever, and the appearance of resistant strains of cholera and malaria provide just a few examples of the challenge that we face today.
This workshop will focus on the study of ecological and evolutionary models in epidemiology and immunology using the theory of dynamical systems and stochastic analysis. Critical questions in these areas will be presented and discussed by researchers with diverse approaches and perspectives, ranging from applied mathematics and statistics to theoretical biology, epidemiology and immunology. The workshop will bring together established and young theoreticians from these fields and will be of interest to those working in epidemiology and immunology, coevolutionary biology and the ecology of vector-transmitted diseases.
The relevant mathematical background for this workshop includes familiarity with dynamical systems and/or stochastic processes. Participants do not need to be specialists in the mathematics or biology of infectious diseases. The workshop will be preceded by two tutorials on the use of deterministic models in epidemiology and immunology.
All
talks are in Lecture Hall EE/CS 3-180 unless otherwise noted.
MONDAY, MAY 17 | ||
---|---|---|
8:30 am | Registration and Coffee | Reception Room EE/CS 3-176 |
9:00 am | Willard
Miller, Fred Dulles and Carlos Castillo-Chavez |
Introduction |
9:30 am | Sally
Blower University of California, San Francisco |
The Problem of Antiviral Resistance: Prediction & Control |
10:30 am | Coffee Break | Reception Room EE/CS 3-176 |
11:00 am - 12:00 pm | Herbert
W. Hethcote |
New Vaccination Strategies for Pertussis |
2:00 pm | Ingemar
Nåsell Royal Institute of Technology |
Recurrent Epidemics are not Chaotic |Talk |
3:00 pm | Coffee Break | Reception Room EE/CS 3-176 |
3:30-4:30 pm | Fred
Brauer University of British Columbia |
Infectious Disease Models with Chronological Age Structure and Disease Age Structure |
4:45 pm | IMA Tea |
IMA East, 400 Lind Hall A variety of appetizers and beverages will be served. |
TUESDAY, MAY 18 | ||
9:15 am | Coffee | Reception Room EE/CS 3-176 |
9:30 am | Viggo
Andreasen Roskilde University |
Epidemiology and Natural Selection in Pathogens with Intermediate Rate of Antigenic Change |Talk |
10:30 am | Coffee Break | Reception Room EE/CS 3-176 |
11:00 am - 12:00 pm | Horst
Thieme Arizona State University |
Endemic Models with Arbitrarily Distributed Periods of Infection |
2:00 pm | Gustavo
Martinez-Mekler Centro de Ciencias Fisicas, UNAM |
Lattice Dynamical System Model for the HIV1 Genetic Sequence Evolution |Talk |
3:00 pm | Coffee Break | Reception Room EE/CS 3-176 |
3:30-4:30 pm | Andrea
Pugliese Universitá di Trento |
Virulence Evolution in Macro-parasites |Talk |
4:45-5:30 pm | Ingemar
Nåsell Royal Institute of Technology |
Part II: The Importance of Quasi-stationarity in the Study of Extinction Times for Birth-death Processes with Absorbing States. Applications to the SIS Model |Talk |
WEDNESDAY, MAY 19 | ||
9:15 am | Coffee | Reception Room EE/CS 3-176 |
9:30 am | Mats
Gyllenberg University of Turku |
On Fitness in Structured Metapopulation Models with an Application to Epidemics |
10:30 am | Coffee Break | Reception Room EE/CS 3-176 |
11:00 am -12:00 pm | Zhilan
Feng Purdue University |
Treatment-induced Schistosome Genetic Diversity |
Poster/Video/Software Demo/Short Talk Session | ||
2:00-2:15 pm | Angel
Capurro Universidad de Belgrano |
Modeling Tuberculosis Transmission With Clusters |
2:15-2:30 pm | K.
Renee Fister Murray State University |
Optimal Control Applied to Cell-Cycle-Specific Cancer Chemotherapy |Talk |
2:30-2:45 pm | Don
Gaver Naval Postgraduate School |
A Stochastic Model for Effects of Mass/Simultaneous Vaccination |Talk |
2:45 pm | Coffee Break | Reception Room EE/CS 3-176 |
3:00-3:15 pm | Carlos
Hernandez Suarez Cornell University |
TBA |
3:15-3:30 pm |
Michael Li Mississippi State University |
Selective Pressures of the Host Population Dynamics on the Evolution of Disease Pathogenecity |
3:30-3:45 pm | Maia
Martcheva Polytechnic University, (Brooklyn NY) |
Diseases With a Chronic Stage in a Population With Varying Size |
3:45 pm | Coffee Break | Reception Room EE/CS 3-176 |
4:00-4:15 pm | Johannes
Müller Utrecht University |
Contact Tracing in Stochastic and Deterministic Epidemic Models |
4:15-4:30 pm | Abdul-Aziz
Yakubu Howard University |
Discrete Competitive Systems with Patches |
4:30-4:45 pm | Patrick
Nelson IMA |
Predicting the Effect of Judicious Antibiotic Use on Drug-resistant Streptococcus pneumoniae Colonization Among Children in Day-care. |
THURSDAY, MAY 20 | ||
9:15 am | Coffee | Reception Room EE/CS 3-176 |
9:30 am | Glenn
F. Webb Vanderbilt University |
Phenotype Evolution in Helicobacter pylori |Talk |
10:30 am | Coffee Break | Reception Room EE/CS 3-176 |
11:00 am - 12:00 pm | Wenzhang
Huang University of Alabama, Huntsville |
Traveling Wave Solution and Competitive Exclusion of Multiple Strains in an STD Model |
2:00 pm | Neil
M. Ferguson Oxford University |
Transmission Dynamics of Dengue Virus: Antibody-dependent Enhancement and the Effect of Co-operative Interactions Between Viral Strains on Long Term Epidemic Pattern. |
3:00 pm | Coffee Break | Reception Room EE/CS 3-176 |
3:30 - 4:30 pm | Panel
Discussion Sally Blower, U of California, San Francisco Tom Lietman, U of California-San Francisco |
Antibiotic Resistance |
6:00 pm | Workshop Dinner | TBA |
FRIDAY, MAY 21 | ||
8:45 am | Coffee | Reception Room EE/CS 3-176 |
9:00 am |
Pauline van den Driessche University of Victoria |
Epidemic Model with Maturation Delay |
10:00 am | Coffee Break | Reception Room EE/CS 3-176 |
10:15 am | Carl
P. Simon University of Michigan |
Mathematical Models of the Spread of Influenza A |Talk |
11:15 am | Coffee Break | Reception Room EE/CS 3-176 |
11:30 am - 12:30 pm | Panel
"Workshop Conclusions" Linda Allen Frank Ball Carlos Castillo-Chavez , Moderator Herbert Hethcote |
Panel |
Name | Department | Affiliation |
---|---|---|
Linda Allen | Mathematics | Texas Tech |
Kevin Anderson | IMA | University of Minnesota |
Viggo Andreasen | Matematik | Roskilde University |
Bruce Ayati | IMA | University of Minnesota |
Frank Ball | Mathematics | University of Nottingham |
Joan Bechtold | Midwest Orthopedic Research Foundation | |
Robert Berry | Mathematics | University of Houston |
Sally Blower | Microbiology & Immunology | UCSF |
Mary E. Bradley | Mathematics | University of Louisville |
Fred Brauer | Mathematics | University of British Columbia |
Angel Capurro | Departamento de Investigacion | Universidad de Belgrano |
Carlos Castillo-Chavez | IMA | University of Minnesota |
Lester F. Caudill | Mathematics and Computer Science | University of Richmond |
Kenneth Cooke | Pomona College | |
Jonathan Dushoff | Physics | Academia Sinica |
Lourdes Esteva | University Nac Autonoma de Mexico | |
Zhilan Feng | Mathematics | Purdue University |
Neil Ferguson | Zoology | Oxford University |
K. Renee Fister | Mathematics and Statistics | Murray State University |
John Gardner | University of Utah | |
Don Gaver | Naval Postgraduate School | |
Kimber Gross | Mathematics | University of Houston |
Mats Gyllenberg | Applied Mathematics | University of Turku |
Carlos Hernandez | Biomathematics | Cornell University |
Herb Hethcote | Mathematics | University of Iowa |
Janda Holmes | Mathematics | University of Tennessee |
Sarah Holte | Biostatistics | Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center |
Mary Ann Horn | Mathematics | Vanderbilt University |
Shu-Fang Hsu-Schmidt | Mathematical Statistics | University of Bern |
Wenzhang Huang | Mathematical Sciences | University of Alabama, Huntsville |
Hisashi Inaba | Mathematical Sciences | University of Tokyo |
Yoh Iwasa | Biology | Kyushu University |
Steve Krone | Mathematics | University of Idaho |
Suzanne Lenhart | Mathematics | University of Tennessee |
Jia Li | Mathematical Science | University of Alabama, Huntsville |
Michael Li | Mathematics and Statistics | Mississippi State University |
Tom Lietman | F.I. Proctor Foundation | University of California-San Francisco |
Frithjof Lutscher | Lehrstuhl fur Biomathematik | Universitat Tubingen |
Maia Martcheva | ||
Gustavo Martinez-Meckler | Laboratorio de Cuernavaca | Instituto de Fisica, UNAM |
Douglas Meade | Mathematics | University of South Carolina |
Fabio Milner | Mathematics | Purdue University |
Olivier Monzin | MORF | |
Johannes Mueller | Biomathematics - C5P13 | Utrecht University |
Ingemar Nåsell | Mathematics | Royal Institute of Technology |
Douglas E. Norton | Mathematical Sciences | Villanova University |
Andrea Pugliese | Dipartmimento di Matematica | Universita degli Studi di Trento |
Sonja Sandberg | Mathematics | Framingham State College |
Lisa Sattenspiel | Anthropology | University of Missouri |
Matthew Schuette | Applied Math and Computational Sciences | University of Iowa |
Carl Simon | Mathematics | University of Michigan |
Zachariah Sinkala | Middle Tennessee State University | |
Baojun Song | Biometrics | Cornell University |
Moxun Tang | Mathematics | University of Minnesota |
Horst Thieme | Mathematics | Arizona State University |
Dean T. Tsukayama | Medicine | Hennepin County Medical Center |
Pauline Van Den Driessche | Mathematics & Statistics | University of Victoria |
Jorge X. Velasco-Hernandez | Mathematics | UAM- Iztapalapa |
James Watmough | Mathematics and Statistics | University of Victoria |
Glenn F. Webb | Mathematics | Vanderbilt University |
Kathryn Weld | Mathematics and Computer Science | Manhattan College |
Ralf Wittenberg | Institute For Mathematics & Its Applications | University of Minnesota |
Lih-Ing Wu | Mathematics | Purdue University |
Abdul-Aziz Yakubu | Mathematics | Howard University |
Zhou Yicang | Applied Mathematics | Xi an Jiaotong University |
Mary Lou Zeeman | Mathematics and Statistics | University of Texas at San Antonio |
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