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IMA"HOT TOPICS" Workshop:

Decision Making Under Uncertainty:
Energy and Environmental Models

July 20-24, 1999 (Tuesday-Saturday)

with partial support from Schlumberger

Organizers:

François Auzerais
Schlumberger-Doll Research
auzerais@ridgefield.sdr.slb.com)

Robert Burridge
Schlumberger-Doll Research
burridge@ridgefield.sdr.slb.com)

Claude Greengard
Watson Research Center
IBM
greenga@watson.ibm.com)

Roger J-B Wets
Department of Mathematics
University of California - Davis
rjbwets@ucdavis.edu)


Schedule Participants Registration
Material from IMA Talks Audio Recordings

 

Almost all (important) decision problems involve some level of uncertainty either about data measurements, the values to assign to parameters describing future evolution or even about the environment in which one has to operate. The main objective of this workshop is to set up a dialogue between Industry and Academia about modeling issues and the supporting mathematical methodology that would be useful to deal with uncertainty in decision making. This workshop will be centered around problems where the uncertainty is of a technological nature, in particular as it comes up in the production of energy, the extraction of natural resources and (ground) water remediation. Both practitioners and scientific researchers will be involved, and the interaction between these groups will be an important feature of the workshop.

The first day will be devoted mostly to a review of the major issues that must be dealt with when setting up stochastic optimization models. This will be followed by a limited number of invited lectures that will address more specific models and questions as they arise in applications. Other lecturers will provide a description of the numerical procedures and strategies that have been developed for certain classes of stochastic programming problems. To foster interaction, time has been reserved for two panel discussions, for impromptu talks, contributed talks and more informal exchanges between the participants.

Workshop Schedule

All talks are in Lecture Hall EE/CS 3-180 unless otherwise noted.
Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday

SCHEDULE for TUESDAY, JULY 20

Stochastic Programming Tutorial

8:30 am Registration and Coffee Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
8:45 am Willard Miller, Fred Dulles,
and Robert Burridge
Introduction
9:00 am R. Terry Rockafellar
University of Washington
Stochastic Programming Models
10:30 am Coffee Break Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
11:00 am - 12:00 pm R. Terry Rockafellar
University of Washington
Stochastic Programming Models (Continued)
2:00 pm R. Terry Rockafellar
University of Washington
Formulation and Analysis of Dynamic Stochastic Optimization Problems. Duality and Optimality Conditions
3:30 pm Coffee Break Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
4:00 pm R. Terry Rockafellar
University of Washington
Formulation and Analysis of Dynamic Stochastic Optimization Problems. Duality and Optimality Conditions (Continued)
5:00 pm IMA Tea IMA East, 400 Lind Hall
A variety of appetizers and beverages will be served.
SCHEDULE for WEDNESDAY, JULY 21

Energy Models

9:00-10:00 am Jonathan Jacobs
PG&E Energy Services Corp.
Opportunities for Stochastic and Probabilistic Modeling in the Deregulated Electricity Industry
10:00 am Coffee Break Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
10:30 am - 12:00 pm Rüdiger Schultz
Universität Duisburg
Methods for Solving Recourse Stochastic Programs with Integer Requirements
11:15 am Suvrajeet Sen
University of Arizona
Strengthening Stochastic Integer Programs with Valid Inequalities
2:00-3:00 pm Alejandro Jofre
Universidad de Chile
TBA
3:00 pm Coffee Break Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
3:30 pm Marc Paulhus
Northern Finacial Technology
Real Options Software Environment
4:15 - 5:00 pm Lisa Korf
IBM
Contingent Claims Analysis from an Optimization Viewpoint and A Numerical Method for Computing the Effective Coefficients of Random Media
SCHEDULE for THURSDAY, JULY 22

Geological & Hydrological Models

9:00 - 10:15 am François Auzerais
Schlumberger-Doll Research
Optimal Control of an Oilfield Reservoir under Uncertainty
10:15 am Coffee Break Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
10:45 am - 12:00 pm Samer Takriti
ENRON
Coordinating Fuel Inventory and Electric Power Generation Under Uncertainty
2:00 - 3:00 pm Christine Shoemaker
Cornell University
Optimization of Uncertain Dynamic Systems: Partial Differential Equation Systems for Groundwater Contamination
3:00 pm Coffee Break Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
3:30 pm Christine Shoemaker
Cornell University
Optimization of Uncertain Dynamic Systems: Algorithms and Applications to Hydropower Reservoirs, Inventory Problems
4:15 pm Sergio Lucero
University of California - Davis
A Stochastic Programming Model for Groundwater Remediation
SCHEDULE for FRIDAY, JULY 23

Panel, Enviromental Models

9:00 - 10:30 am Panel - Problem Identification
François Auzerais

Schlumberger-Doll Research
Werner Roemisch

Humboldt Universität Berlin
Donna M. Rizzo

University of Vermont
 
10:30 am Coffee Break Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
11:00 am - 11:45 pm Lars Holden
Norwegian Computing Center
Making Decisions Using Stochastic Models
11:45 am - 12:30 pm Andrew Philpott
University of Auckland
Optimal Participant Behavior in an Electricity Market
2:00 - 3:00 pm Alan King
IBM
Survey of Asymptotics for Empirical Approximations, with Application to Options Pricing
3:00 pm Coffee Break Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
3:30 pm Chuangyin Dang
City University of Hong Kong
A Continuous Deformation Descent Direction Method for Approximating a Solution of the Linearly Constrained Concave Quadratic Minimization Problem with Simple Bounds
6:00 pm Workshop Dinner Bona Vietnamese Restaurant
Located near the IMA and the Day's Inn at 802 Washington Avenue, the south side of Washington very near the intersection of Washington and Oak St.
Phone: 612-331-5011
SCHEDULE for SATURDAY, JULY 24

Energy Models II, Panel

9:00 - 10:00 am Chonawee Supatgiat
University of Michigan
Stochastic Programming Models and Equilibrium Conditions in Deregulated Power Markets
10:00 am Coffee Break Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
10:30 am Werner Römisch
Humboldt-Universität Berlin
Power Management in a Hydro-Thermal System under Uncertainty by Lagrangian Relaxation
11:15 am - 12:00 pm Daniel Tasende
Hedging Against Disasters in Competitive Electricity Markets
2:00 - 3:00 pm Andrzej Ruszczynski
Rutgers University
Efficient Points of Discrete Distributions in Probabilistic Optimization Models
3:00 pm Coffee Break Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
3:30 - 5:00 pm Panel - Where to?
William Ziemba (Chair)
University of British Columbia
Robert Burridge

Schlumberger-Doll Research
Sergio Lucero

UC Davis
Andrew Philpot

University of Auckland
 

Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday

List of Confirmed Participants

As of 7/16/99
Name Department Affiliation
François Auzerais   Schlumberger-Doll Research
John Birge Stochastic Programming in Engneering University of Michigan
Robert Burridge   Schlumberger-Doll Research Center
David Chock Chemistry Ford Motor Company
Benoit Couet   Schlumberger-Doll Research Center
Chuangyin Dang Manufacturing Eng & Eng. Management City University of Hong Kong
David E. Dougherty Civil Engineering & Mechanical Engineering University of Vermont
Stefan Feltenmark Optimization and Systems Royal Institute of Technology
Lars Holden   Norweigan Computer Center
Suzhou Huang   Ford Motor Company
Jonathan Jacobs   P.G. & E. - Energy Services
Alejandro Jofre Math Engineering Universidad de Chile
Tore W. Jonsbraten   A/S Norske Shell
Daniel Kaplan Math and Computer Science Macalester College
Alan King   IBM
Lisa Korf   IBM TJ Watson Research Center
Sergio Lucero Mathematics University of California - Davis
Marc Paulhus Statistics Northern Financial Technologies
Andrew Philpott Engineering Science University of Auckland
Alfredo Piria Matematica y Estadistica Universidad de la Republica
Miro Powojowski Statistics Northern Financial Technologies
Donna M. Rizzo Civil and Environmental Engr. University of Vermont
Terry Rockafellar Mathematics University of Washington
Werner Roemisch Institut fuer Mathematik Humboldt-Universitaet Berlin
Andrzej Ruszczynski Management Science and Information Sys. Rutgers University
Ruediger Schultz Mathematics Gerhard-Mercator University Duisburg
Suvrajeet Sen Systems and Industrial Engineering University of Arizona
Nikhil Shah   Northern Financial Technologies
Christine A. Shoemaker Civil & Environmental Engineering Cornell University
Chonawee Supatgiat   University of Michigan
Samer Takriti   IBM
Ing. Daniel Tasende Sector Planificacion de Inversiones Administracion Nacional de Usinas y Trasmsiones El
Stein Wallace Industrial Economics & Tech. Mgmt. The Norwegian Institute of Technology
Roger Wets Mathematics University of California - Davis
William Ziemba Faculty of Business Administration University of British Columbia

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